BIOSCENEMADA - Scenarios of biodiversity evolution under the combined effect of climate change and deforestation in Madagascar

May 2014
November 2019
Project cost
265 000 €
Role in the project




Biodiversity Forest Modeling REDD+

Main goals

Separated from Africa and then from India, respectively 165 and 88 million years ago, the fauna and flora of Madagascar evolved in isolation. The island is known worldwide for its incredible biodiversity, characterized by high rates of endemism, significant diversity of species and the complete absence of other groups. This biodiversity is mainly concentrated in the tropical forests and is highly threatened by deforestation and climate change.

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R1. Improve the effectiveness of the protected area network and ensure that REDD + National Program maximizes co-benefits of carbon projects for biodiversity
R2. Provide tools to assess co-benefits in terms of projects biodiversity implemented in the field
R3. Identify refuge areas for biodiversity in the face of climate changes and prioritize conservation efforts in the field (eg identifying refuge areas at high risk of deforestation)


Using biodiversity maps from data collected by the project REBIOMA, as well as demographic and deforestation models, proposes to estimate the loss of biodiversity associated with:

  • Different scenarios of population growth and deforestation at the national level,
  • Different climate change scenarios (eg GIECC scenarios A2a and B2a) by producing future biodiversity maps (obtained from climate niche models) and identifying refuge areas and areas at high risk of biodiversity loss,
  • The joint effect of climate and deforestation.

In fine, by comparing current and future biodiversity maps, BioScene Mada aims to identify priority areas for the conservation of biodiversity (eg refuge areas at high risk of deforestation).

Related people

Project officer / Forest & REDD + / France

Frédérique Montfort

Doctor of AgroParisTech in environmental sciences, she brings her expertise on the biodiversity component and on the degradation and restoration of forest landscapes. She joined N’Lab de Nitidæ in 2017 to carry out her thesis with the association, UR Forêts & Sociétés and UMR Tétis on the degradation and restoration of Miombo forest landscapes in Mozambique. She is currently conducting studies and technical support (capacity building, technology transfer) on various projects of the association

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GIS, Remote Sensing and Carbon Project Manager / Forest & REDD+ / Madagascar

Fety Abel Rakotomalala

Currently a PhD student, he holds a DEA of Physics, specialised in "geophysics, remote sensing and GIS" from the Faculty of Sciences of Antananarivo in Madagascar (IOGA). He brings his expertise to the impacts of deforestation, above-ground biomass mapping and scenario development of carbon emissions

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Project Manager / France

Clovis Grinand

PhD in Functional Ecology and Agronomic Sciences (SupAgro, IRD and CIRAD) and specialized in Localized Information Systems for Spatial Planning (AgroParisTech), he is an expert in land use change monitoring using remote sensing, digital soil mapping and spatial modeling applied to forestry, agronomy and landscape ecology. He is the author of numerous international scientific publications.

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Project Manager / Forest & REDD + / France

Marie Nourtier

PhD in Forest sciences conducted at INRA Avignon, EMMAH research lab, she brings her expertise in forest ecology, support for REDD+ mechanism and carbon accounting, Environmental and social impact assessment of projects, project management and supervision of technical work

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Country representative in Madagascar

Tovondriaka Rakotobe

With a degree in science - coupled with a background in administration and environmental economics - he has over twenty-five years of experience in sustainable development in a variety of fields: protected areas management, environmental management (planning, information system, environmental impact assessments), quality management at the National Office for the Environment, natural resource management, carbone finance

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